More democrats less crime?

Lott points to a recent phenomenon where gun lovers are buying up now to avoid costly regulation later.

“We call it the Obama factor. People are very concerned that if a Democrat is elected they will see more restrictions on handguns and assault rifles.” Godell said. “I think as a result of that we have seen steady handgun sales, and there’s been an increase in the sale of assault rifles like AK-47s, as well.”

Given Lott’s More Guns Less Crime thesis, does this mean we can expect to see crime drops after elections when democrats were favored to win?

Art on crime

A brief but good comment by friend Art Carden.

Prison is not the answer. In a recent set of lectures given on behalf of the Institute for Humane Studies, Georgetown University legal scholar John Hasnas argued in favor of restitution as opposed to incarceration and statutory law. Hasnas argued that people are not necessarily reformed while in prisons and jails. They learn to be better criminals. They attach themselves to larger criminal networks. After some of the horrible experiences of prison–like prison rape, for example–still others are likely to become even more withdrawn and antisocial. The current system isn’t working.

Violence in sports

Tyler Cowen posts the abstract of an interesting new paper on violence in the NHL. This post reminded me of a brief paper idea I had recently and was encouraged to pursue further. The question at hand was, why do fights clear the bench in baseball but not necessarily other sports? Let’s assume the above anomaly is true, my claim is that fights in baseball typically involve the most highly valued asset of the team – high paid pitcher v. high paid batter. In this clearing the benches to involve the whole team in the fight has two rational motivations. 1) Drawing the fight into a full out brawl saves face in front of fans and the opposing team while protecting those highly valued assets. The individual fight may subside in the chaos of the brawl but no one appears to have backed down. 2) Playing the next game without the high valued player may mean a potential loss, better to involve the whole team and take some other form of dispersed penalty.
Anyone know where to hunt down good data on baseball fights or fights in other sports: hockey, basketball, rugby, etc???

Sudha Shenoy, RIP

As many of you have by now already heard the bad news is that the dear Sudha Shenoy, hostorian, scholar and all around wonderful person has passed away from a bout with cancer. She will be sorely missed. In reading several obits (1, 2, 3, and 4) I began to think of my favorite things Sudha:
1. Her annoyance that legal history and any institutional economics of the law are excessively Amero-centric.
2. Her annoyance that economists don’t know squat about history.
3. Her willingness to put “I, pencil” to shame with thorough production histories.
4. Her memories of hanging out with Murray and Joey, and her willingness to share them.
5. Her eagerness to meet with students and offer reading suggestions.
BTW. Bo Diddley will also be missed.

a new blog on the economics of graffiti

the economics of graffiti blog at http://economicsofgraffiti.blogspot.com/ is new but very interesting. I would consider most of the content sociology or anthropology but the summary paragraph hints at some incentive and cost benefit analysis.
“economists study systems. There is a system that produces graffiti and this blog is about that system. Graffiti is considered both art and vandalism, but it is a response to social pressures unlike any other type of art or vandalism…
According to Banski, who is arguably the most famous anonymous graffiti artist in the world, ‘graffiti is one of the few tools you have if you have almost nothing.'”
Hat tip to Ed Stringham via the barstool economists listserv.
Btw: I’m on at train as I’m posting this. Mobile blogging is pretty cool.

Is the criminal justice system racist?

Heather Mac Donald says no in an interesting piece in today’s City Journal.

The black incarceration rate is overwhelmingly a function of black crime. Insisting otherwise only worsens black alienation and further defers a real solution to the black crime problem.

I find her discussion compelling, but would still argue that the criminal justice system is disproportionate. There’s too many people of all types in prison, black, white, Hispanic, men and women. It seems reasonable to take the next step that the over-carceral nature of the criminal justice system is felt more harshly by poorer and more minority populations.
I agree with Mac Donald that this is not racism, but it is a problem. Her facts are accurate that blacks commit an overwhelming majority of the violent crime in America, but what she fails to comment on is that prisons are politically promoted and assumed to be a salve for this ailment. Where are the great deterrent effects of increased incarceration, harsher penalties and cracked down drug policies? Obviously such efforts are falling short from their expectations amongst the activist community. Lacking any real viable outlet to express their unease with the current system, lacking any real mechanism to effect the system to meet their unique needs, activists are left to entertain the theories that Mac Donald argues to be unsupported by the facts.